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  • 2019.11.11 Monday
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  • by スポンサードリンク


No Hegemony

 Since the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, the U.S. has reigned as the world’s only superpower. In the G7, however, President Trump was completely isolated. And, in the U.S.-North Korean summit, he couldn’t achieve any clear path forward yet. The U.S. does not hold hegemony over the world any more.                                                                               The U.S.-North Korea summit went down the drain. The 2005 agreement, in which inspection was required, ultimately failed. As of yet, the negotiations have not even clearly defined an inspection regime.                                                                              Nor has a deadline for denuclearization been decided. President Trump commented that complete denuclearization would take some time. To my mind, this seemed as if he delivered a concession speech. I believe that North Korea will try to exploit the situation to weaken sanctions and acquire aid by delaying tactics. I’m impressed that Kim Jong-un achieved so much.                                                                                                  North Korea desires to improve its relationship with the U.S. not only to skirt the U.S.’s attack but also to reduce its dependence on China. China wishes to utilize North Korea as a buffer state against the U.S. However, if North Korea improves its relationship with the U.S., China will feel less secure. Hence, China insists on the gradual denuclearization to prolong the process.                                                                             Russia also desires to deter the U.S. from exercising more power in the Korean Peninsula. Russian President Vladimir Putin visited Beijing on the 8th to have talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping. I suspect that they are in tacit agreement to prolong North Korea’s denuclearization.                                                                              In the G7, President Trump who found himself isolated insisted on reinstating Russia as a member of the G8, to which Germany and the U.K. objected. The only consensus was the denuclearization of North Korea. However, he couldn’t achieve any tangible results from the talks with Kim Jong-un. The U.S.’s geopolitical influence will decline.                                                                               China has exercised its economic clout to achieve is geopolitical goals. However, the U.S. announced that it would impose additional tariffs of 25% on Chinese products. In response, China will impose retaliatory tariffs on American products. They will both suffer economically.                                                                             On the other hand, the Japanese and German economies are doing well. In my opinion, Prime Minister Abe should ally with German Chancellor Merkel in promoting free trade and leading the world in a fair and equitable manner. I believe that Japan should have more geopolitical influence in accordance with its economic standing.


  • 2019.11.11 Monday
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  • 00:34
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  • by スポンサードリンク


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